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Friday, September 19, 2014

Leon Panetta-- ISIS Flourished Because US Left Iraq Too Soon-Involved In Syria Too Late

As part of a a 60 Minutes report about ISIS this Sunday, Scott Pelley will be interviewing former Obama Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta...Obama will not be pleased. 

In a preview clip released by CBS Panetta say that ISIS grew because Obama allowed the US to leave Iraq too early and didn't allow the US to get involved with helping the Syrian rebels--against the wishes of his national security force.

Pelley: Back when you watched the stars and stripes being lowered for the last time in Baghdad, were you confident in that moment that pulling out was the right thing to do?

Panetta: No, I wasn't. I really thought that it was important for us to maintain a presence in Iraq.


Panetta: The real key was how can we develop a leadership group among the opposition that would be able to take control. And my view was to have leverage to do that, we would have to provide the weapons and the training in order for them to really be willing to work with us in that effort.

Pelley: But with virtually his entire national security team unanimous on this, that's not the decision the president made.

Panetta: I think the president's concern, and I understand it, was that he had a fear that if we started providing weapons, we wouldn't know where those weapons would wind up... My view was, "You have to begin somewhere

John Kerry Embarrasses United States Again:Tells UN To Fight ISIS To Save Math For The Little Kids

Today was John Kerry's big shot to sell the world on the Obama's ISIS plan. As he neared the end of his speech at the rallied the other nations with his best reason for fighting ISIS--they ban the teaching of math and social studies for kids. No really..ISIS is crucifying kids, they are shooting kids in the head...and Kerry is worried about multiplication tables. John Kerry is such an idiot that realizing he is one of the leaders of this country is almost as frightening as ISIS.
And finally there is an urgent need to counter the poisonous propaganda, and gross distortion of Islam that ISIL is spreading far and wide. It is time to put an end to a group so extreme and its rejection of modernity that it bans math and social studies for children. It’s time to put an end to the sermons by extremists that brainwash young men to these terrorist groups and commit atrocities in name of God.

Kentucky Write-In Candidate For Senator's Anti-Semitic Platform, 'With Jews We Lose!"

The Candidate and His Message of Hate

Robert Ransdell, is campaigning as a write-in U.S. Senate candidate in Kentucky. Emblazoned on his campaign signs is the hate-filled slogan, “With Jews We Lose!” While Ransdell knows he can't defeat Mitch McConnell or Allison Grimes, he says the purpose of his campaign his to spread his anti-Semitic message.

TV Station WLWT in Kentucky began to investigate signs after receiving phone calls informing the station about the slogan.
The signs placed at US 25 and Mount Zion Road in Florence caught one driver off guard. “It's ignorance. Complete ignorance and hate,” said Drea, who is disgusted with the campaign.

About 20 other signs are around Northern Kentucky and Ransdell said he hopes to roll out about 200 more in the coming weeks.

Drea, who wants to keep her last name private for fear of her family’s privacy, said she felt sick to her stomach after seeing the signs and wanted to speak out. “I could drive by it and act like oh whatever it's just some idiot but when does one idiot become 20,” Drea said.
When a reporter spoke to Ransdell, who is the former regional coordinator for the neo-Nazi National Alliance (NA) in Cincinnati, Ohio, and a current coordinator for a different hate group, the National Alliance Reform and Restoration Group, he claimed positive feedback from the signs:

Online we have had a lot of positive feedback. Like I said, we're going to find out what kind of feedback we get once we go out and take it to the people here in the state of Kentucky.

He added, "I believe that there is no such thing as racial equality. You see that in our cities everyday."

The Southern Poverty Law Center reported Ransdell caused an incident University of Kentucky's Constitution Day celebration:
In addition to posting his anti-Semitic signs, Ransdell has been wreaking general havoc. Last Wednesday, he appeared at the University of Kentucky’s Constitution Day event. He was removed from the stage after delivering a white nationalist screed, while displaying his campaign signs, to an audience of high school and college students expecting to hear a speech about the principles of the constitution.

“I was about to get to the Constitution before I was cut off,” Ransdell told a reporter for WKYT. “But I intended after traveling – I’m up here near Cincinnati – after traveling that far to be forthright about something I believe in.”

Ransdell is receiving campaign help from at least one other notable white nationalist. Kyle Hunt, the organizer of the “White Man’s March,” which took place nationally, and feebly, last March, registered Ransdell’s campaign website domain on Sept. 5. Hunt had been quiet since a bizarre April post in which he suggested using Easter egg hunts to promote white supremacy.
There is a bright side to the story of this creep running for office.  As bad as the people who run our government are...Ransdell proves it could be a lot worse.

Wisconsin Dem Candidate For Gov. Caught Plagiarizing -Throws Consultant Under Bus

Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mary Burke, who is running on a jobs platform was found to plagiarize significant portions of her jobs plan from old proposals published by three Democratic candidates who ran for governor in other states. Today she fired the consultant who she blames for copying the plan--which is either a demonstration that she has a  "dumping the subordinate under the bus" management style or it is an admission she knew very little about her primary campaign promise.

Buzzfeed  reported on Thursday that Burke's plan, called "Invest for Success," includes nearly word for word passages from the economic development plans presented by Delaware Gov. Jack Markell in 2008, Ward Cammack of Tennessee in 2009 and John Gregg of Indiana in 2012.

But if they were Burke's ideas, how could someone copy them from someone else?  Even if the consultant simply matched the sections to her ideas, didn't she read and approve them to see if the words matched her tone and vision?  Heck this is the key issue in her campaign! Mary Burke sounds like an executive who is too distant from what she is supposed to manage--just like Barack Obama.
Mary Burke has built her campaign around her jobs plan, which she is offering as an alternative to Republican Gov. Scott Walker's approach. One of Burke's key arguments against Walker is that he doesn't deserve re-election because he has failed to live up to his promise to create 250,000 private-sector jobs and Wisconsin is lagging other states in adding workers.
Burke campaign spokesman Joe Zepecki said the duplicate sections were written by a consultant who also advised the other campaigns. That consultant, Eric Schnurer of the Pennsylvania-based consulting firm Public Works, was fired Thursday night by the campaign, Zepecki said.
Governor Walker's campaign manager commented:
"It's a sad day for Wisconsin when the Democratic nominee for governor misleads voters by offering a plagiarized jobs plan, in which she has staked her entire candidacy. Wisconsin deserve better, and it's clear that Mary Burke cannot be trusted to lead our state."
RNC Chairman Reince Priebus pointed out:
Mary Burke now has zero credibility as a candidate. The entire premise of Burke’s campaign was built around her supposed ability to create jobs, but it turns out she couldn’t even create her own jobs plan without plagiarizing it from other candidates. Copying and pasting isn't how you create middle class jobs or move Wisconsin forward as Scott Walker has. So with just 7 weeks left before the election, Democrats are running a candidate that still doesn’t have a jobs plan of her own.
On the bright side, if Burke does lose, she could always run for U.S. Senator from Montana now that John Walsh dropped out for plagiarizing his masters thesis.

Status Of The 13 Most Important 2014 Senate Races From The 7 Most Respected Political Seers (+1)

Note: The chart below is small, but if you double click on it--- it will open a much larger view. 

The chart below lists the ten states which (IMHO) the GOP has the best chance of picking up senate seats in the upcoming election, and the three states the Democrats have a legitimate possibility to pick up a seat. 

For each race we provide the Real Clear Politics Poll average, and the latest race ratings from Charlie Cook, Stuart Rothenberg, Larry Sabato, NYTimes, 538, Washington Post, and the official "lid" ratings.  Understand, these outlooks are a snapshot at a point of time---and there is still plenty of room before election day for things to change.

As things stand today the Democrats have a 55-45 seat majority in the senate (two independents caucus with the Democrats) Constitutionally the Vice President gets to cast a vote in the event of a tie, to take over the Senate the GOP needs a net gain of six seats to bring them to 51.

When it comes to each of the prognosticators, I tend to lean toward the Cook, Rothenberg and Sabato which include personal experience and gut, over the computer model predictors, the NYT, 538, and WaPo.

My predictions disagree with the experts in some cases. In Alaska most believe the race to be leaning Dem. or a Toss Up. One thing missing is that Begich's election six years ago was a bit of an accident. The GOP incumbent Ted Stevens had been convicted of corruption in a case that was eventually reversed because as the judge who threw out the conviction said, "The investigation and prosecution of U.S. Senator Ted Stevens were permeated by the systematic concealment of significant exculpatory evidence which would have independently corroborated Senator Stevens’s defense and his testimony, and seriously damaged the testimony and credibility of the government’s key witness." Despite the fact that he had just been convicted of corruption,  Stevens losing margin was a mere 1.25%. Alaska is a conservative state, and this time Begich will not have the help of an opponent   dealing with a politically motivated scandal.

The Human pundits see Louisiana as a toss-up.  In this case I agree with computers who have the state leaning toward the Republican Cory Gardner. Incumbent Landrieu has been hit with a few scandals over the past few weeks, the feeling here is she has no where to go but down.

There was Rasmussen a poll earlier this week showing a tie in the New Hampshire race between Scott Brown and the incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen. That poll may have been an outlier as  the two polls after that reported relatively large margins for Shaheen. I hope I'm wrong but right now I see New Hampshire as safe Democratic.

The Republican seat in Kansas may be a problem. If the election was held today everyone would be a huge because it's only Mid-Sept.  With or without a Democratic candidate (and right now it looks like without), incumbent Republican Pat Roberts is in big trouble. IMHO the race is leaning toward Independent candidate Greg Orman. And make no mistake about it, Orman is left leaning and if he wins he will caucus with the Democrats (that's why the Democrat dropped out).

If I was forced to make a final prediction today the GOP has a 60% chance of taking the Senate. They would pick up six seats and lose one for a net of five. The races to keep an eye on are Iowa and Colorado. If everything stays as it is now, and one of those two go GOP--the senate leadership will switch.  Republican Joni Earnst has been trending up in the Iowa polls as has Republican Cory Gardner in Colorado.

But as you know things can change quickly in these two or any of the other 11 races so keep following developments here.